Sunday Night Football odds, line: Vikings vs. Saints picks, predictions from model on 62-43 roll

The Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints square off on Sunday Night Football in a matchup of Super Bowl contenders. The Vikings (4-2-1) have won three in a row, while the Saints (5-1) have won five straight. Oddsmakers have this game as a pick’em — neither team is getting points in the current Vikings vs. Saints odds after Minnesota opened as a 2.5-point favorite. The Over-Under for total points scored is 53. The Saints have topped 30 points in three of their past four games, but the Vikings’ defense has held down the opposition lately. It makes for an intriguing matchup, so before you make any Vikings vs. Saints picks, check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say. 

The advanced computer model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. It went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and 2017. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000. 

It went 10-4 straight-up in a wild Week 7, including calling the Patriots’ huge win over the Bears, improving its record to a blistering 71-34 on the season. And when it comes to all of its top-rated picks, it is now on a strong 62-43 run. Anybody who has been following those picks is way, way up. 

Now the model has simulated the Saints vs. Vikings 10,000 times. We can tell you the under is hitting in 54 percent of simulations, but the model has also produced a strong against-the-spread pick that hits a solid 60 percent of the time. This pick is available only at SportsLine. 

The model has factored in what an efficient offense Drew Brees is running in New Orleans. The midseason MVP candidate has completed a whopping 77 percent of his passes, averaging 300 yards per game. He hasn’t been picked off yet. Brees and top WR Michael Thomas have shown an amazing connection. Thomas has caught 53-of-58 targets for 588 yards and four TDs, and his 91.4 reception percent rate would be the best of any WR in a season since the statistic was first tracked in 1992. 

New Orleans’ defense is often maligned, but this year has been different. The Saints rank No. 1 against the run and have nine sacks, led by DE Cameron Jordan’s five. 

Just because the Saints’ offense has been on fire doesn’t mean the Vikings will be overwhelmed. 

Minnesota’s offense averages nearly as many passing yards as New Orleans, led by the NFL’s top receiver, Adam Thielen, who leads the league with 67 receptions and 822 yards. Fellow starter Stefon Diggs has 48 catches for 468 yards, as QB Kirk Cousins has targeted his starters 163 times, or 54.3 percent of his pass attempts. It will face a Saints defense that is being gashed for 294 yards passing per game, fifth-most in the NFL. 

Minnesota’s defense is allowing only 18.3 points per game since the bye week and has 20 sacks overall, led by DE Danielle Hunter’s eight. 

Who wins Saints vs. Vikings? And which side covers 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to be all over, all from the incredible computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors.

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