New Mexico at San Diego State college basketball odds, picks and best bets

The New Mexico Lobos (17-8, 6-6) will visit the undefeated San Diego State Aztecs (24-0, 13-0) in a late-night Mountain West matchup Tuesday at 11 p.m. ET at Viejas Arena. We analyze the New Mexico-San Diego State odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.

New Mexico at San Diego State: Three things you need to know

1. The Aztecs have won all 24 of their games with a schedule that ranks around 120th in the nation (of 373). San Diego State plays tremendous defense – the Aztecs rank fourth in the nation in yielding just 58.3 points per game. Boise State shot 47.9% against the Aztecs at Viejas Arena Jan. 11. No Aztec foe has topped that in their 23 other games.

2. The Lobos lost five of six with JaQuan Lyle (knee) and Vance Jackson (knee) out of the lineup due to injury. Both returned to action in Saturday’s 97-68 win over Wyoming; they combined for 25 points and nine rebounds. At 16.5 PPG, Lyle is New Mexico’s leading scorer.

3. This contest features the two best-shooting teams in the Mountain West. New Mexico leads the circuit with a 48.5% mark; SDSU is right behind at 47.4%. The Aztecs have the higher effective field-goal mark: 54.9%. (That statistic accounts for 3- and 2-point field goals by their proper values.) San Diego State’s eFG percentage ranks 10th in the nation.


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New Mexico at San Diego State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET.

Prediction

San Diego State 82, New Mexico 65

Moneyline (ML)

New Mexico isn’t winning this one, and the -2000 moneyline on SDSU is too much chalk to make a play. PASS ON THE MONEYLINE and play the spread.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on San Diego State to win would return a profit of just 50 cents.

Against the Spread (ATS)

The Lobos are: 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams playing .600-plus basketball … 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win … 1-3 ATS (average margin -9 points off the spread) over four midweek road games. The Aztecs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against over-.500 teams.

SAN DIEGO STATE -15.5 (-110) is a fair price and one that has some moderate value.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slightly more value can be found here, on the total – if the number is at the right spot. The over is: 5-0 in the Lobos’ last five games following an ATS victory … 5-0 over the Aztecs’ last five … a combined 19-5 in UNM/SDSU conference games.

New Mexico plays at a slow pace, and that may be getting too much respect in the market. That fact is leveled by SDSU’s faster tempo and by the Aztecs’ habit of not putting teams away until the last five minutes of games. But with the over currently at 148.5, PASS ON THE O/U UNLESS IT DIPS BELOW 147.

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