Man United given updated expected final finishing position in the Premier League by Opta supercomputer after their dire start… and three teams look almost certain for top four

• Opta’s AI supercomputer has crunched the numbers for their league predictions 
• Manchester United’s top-four chances continue to drop following another loss 
• Click HERE to listen to the latest episode of Mail Sport’s ‘It’s All Kicking Off’

Manchester United’s chances of a top-four finish continue to plummet according to Opta’s AI supercomputer.

Erik ten Hag’s side suffered their fourth defeat in seven games with a shock 1-0 loss to Crystal Palace at Old Trafford – meaning this is their worst start to a season in 34 years.  

Prior to the campaign beginning, Man United were given a 63.2 per cent chance of achieving a top four finish this season.

Following defeats to Tottenham and Arsenal, their prospect of a top-four finish dropped by 35 per cent. 

Opta’s updated numbers after their defeat to the Eagles, give them a shocking 3.7 per cent of finishing inside the top four.

Manchester United’s most likely finishing position is ninth according to Opta’s AI supercomputer – following their fourth defeat in seven games against Crystal Palace

Man City are still overwhelming favourites to win the title, but their chances of reclaiming the crown has dropped by over ten per cent over the last three matchdays from 91.3 to 80.9

Liverpool, despite their frustrating loss to Tottenham, have a 90.2 per cent chance of returning to Europe’s most prestigious competition – while their title hopes also continue to increase 

Arsenal, along with Man City and Liverpool, are almost guaranteed a top-four finish according to Opta’s supercomputer 

Opta supercomputer’s predicted Premier League table  

1. Man City (80.9 per cent of finishing in this position)

2. Liverpool (40.2)

3. Arsenal (31.1)

4. Tottenham (23.6)

5. Newcastle (19.9)

6. Aston Villa (18.4)

7. Brighton (18.3)

8. West Ham (18.4)

9. Manchester United (17.7)

10. Crystal Palace (16.9)

 11. Brentford (16.3)

12. Chelsea (15.9)

13. Fulham (15.8)

14. Wolves (17.7) 

15. Nottingham Forest (18.2)

16. Everton (16.9)

17. Bournemouth (16.8) 

18. Luton (19.8)

19. Burnley (19.8)

20. Sheffield United (43)

Perhaps even more painfully for United fans, is that the analysis has concluded that ninth is the most likely finish for the club with a 17.7 per cent chance, followed by eighth (17.4) and seventh (13.3).

They have been given a nine per cent of finishing sixth, 5.5 at fifth and they have more chance of finishing 17th in the league than winning the title (0.1 compared 0 per cent).

While it doesn’t sit as pretty reading for Man United fans, a number of other clubs can take optimism from Opta’s analysis.

Man City are still overwhelming favourites to win the title, but their chances have dropped from 91.3 per cent chance a month ago, to 80.9 after their first defeat of the season to Wolves. 

Pep Guardiola’s side, along with Arsenal and Liverpool also look certain for a top-four finish according to Opta’s analysis after game-week seven. 

Man City have a 99.7 per cent chance, Liverpool – despite their controversial defeat to Tottenham – are on 90.2 and Arsenal with 84.5.

Before the season began, Opta claimed Tottenham had a measly 9.5 per chance of qualifying for the Champions League via the top-four.

But after their bright start to life under Ange Postecoglou, they now have a 46.5 likelihood of returning to Europe’s most prestigious competition. 

Newcastle could drop out of the top-four this season according to Opta, with their analysis suggesting Liverpool and Tottenham will push the Magpies and Man United out of the top four

Luton, along with Sheffield United and Burnley, are still among the most likely teams to get relegated despite picking up their first win of the season against Everton

Newcastle’s recent return to form see them have the fifth most likely chance of a top-four finish at 34.2 per cent, followed by Aston Villa (20.2), Brighton (13.3), West Ham (6.7), Man United (3.7), Crystal Palace (0.7) and Chelsea (0.2). 

Mauricio Pochettino’s Blues are down to most likely finish in 12th place, behind Crysytal Palace and Brentford. Though they will hope their 2-0 win over Fulham is the start of a run which will propel them up the standings.  

Liverpool are second favourites to win the title at 10.7. with Arsenal on 7 and every other team below 1 per cent.

The fight for relegation is also heating up with Everton, Luton, Bournemouth, Burnley and Sheffield United all given high percentages.

Sheffield United look certain to go down with an 80.8 per likelihood of relegation with the Blades taking just one point from seven games.

Luton, despite picking up their first win against Everton, are next up at 56 per cent, followed by winless Burnley (54.3), Bournemouth (49.6) and  

Burnley, who have one point in six, have a 54.3 per cent chance of relegation, followed by Bournemouth (49.6) and Everton (39.4). 

Wolves meanwhile were given just a 5.8 per cent likelihood of going down after their shock win over Man City.

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