Raceday focus: Best bets, inside mail for Canterbury
Form analyst Shayne O’Cass was suitably impressed by the recent trial win of a Written Tycoon colt who can start his career off in the best possible way at Canterbury.
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CANTERBURY
BEST BET
Race 2 No. 8: PENCILED
Superbly-bred Snowden Racing colt who trialled the house down at Randwick 13-days ago. Has the draw to take full advantage.
NEXT BEST
Race 4, No. 10 COMPORTA
Likewise drawn the fence which is often the place to be at Canterbury. Signalled that she has come back well with two slashing trials.
VALUE BET
Race 7 No. 11: KARMAZONE
Was a bit of a street corner tip when disappointed here with excuses last month. Has been back to the trials and impressed.
QUADDIE
Race 4: 10
Race 5: 5,10
Race 6: 2,5,7
Race 7: 3,5,11
Tim Clark can add to impressive Canterbury tally on Wednesday. Photo: Mark Evans/Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
Tim Clark has ridden more winners at Canterbury than any other track he has visited and should add a few more to the tally on Wednesday.
THE INSIDE MAIL FOR CANTERBURY
RACE 1
Smart Little Miss is a Ron Quinton trained daughter of Smart Missile who has been beaten a total of about 10-lengths in her two trials but she made good ground in both of them. Thus, the 1200m on debut shapes as a suitable assignment for her. Maher/Eustace entry Santorini Sun likewise has done his best work in his trials; he is a real Choisir from nose to tail and should run well. Divina took ground off Hilal on debut on the Kensington track. Decisive Move gets on-pace and ‘fence’ favours.
Bet: Smart Little Miss to win, quinella 4,5
RACE 2
Penciled looks smart. He is by Written Tycoon out of stakes-placed mare for the Snowden’s named Extensible and just couldn’t have been any more impressive when he swept down the outside rail to win his trial 13 days ago at Randwick. Island Press races in the colours of his sire Press Statement and hasn’t been fully exposed in his two trials but looks to have something there. Cape Breton was beaten eight and a half lengths in his May 11 trial but went as well as anything and better than most. Stick To Your Guns looks a running type.
Bet: Pencilled (best bet) to win, exacta 8 to beat 6/2 (boxed), trifecta 8 (standout) to beat 2,6,11 (boxed)
Keagan Latham partners Off Her Roca for Richard and Michael Freedman. Photo: Grant GuySource:The Daily Telegraph
RACE 3
Off Her Roca was $21 into $17 when she resumed in a 1350m race at Wyong on May 13 and ran accordingly. The daughter of El Roca hit the line with real gusto and keep in mind that she is a second-up winner up to a better trip on Wednesday. Azarmin got a J-Mac special when she won at the Farm. Had 55.5kg and barrier one that day, up to 59.5kg and has the outside alley. That could be an issue. Macushla needs to do something here; she is fully fit now and drawn well. Girls Are Ready gives the impression she is looking for 1550m.
Bet: Off Her Roca to win
RACE 4
Comporta got a whole lot more likeable when she drew barrier one. The Chris Waller trained filly by his Doncaster winner Kermadec turned in three encouraging runs at her first preparation and has been primed to get the win out of the way with a couple of ripper trials. Fastconi is always competitive but his talent will really be put to the test now that he has drawn the outside barrier. Stablemate Hot Spring Gold needs a good tempo and a good ride but he certainly has what is required to make his presence felt. Miss Jay Fox is quick.
Bet: Comporta to win
RACE 5
Chervil is a cleverly-named daughter of the bonny mare White Sage and ostensibly the ‘niece’ of Jason Coyle’s mighty grey mare White Moss. This particular grey has a big finish on her which may work against her at Canterbury but if the track plays fair, she could charge over the top of them with her lightweight. Key Largo was $26 into $19 in a Saturday Benchmark 78 at Rosehill 10-days ago and held his ground without really threatening. That said, he comes back to the midweeks now and could easily peak third-up. Derbari is an improver with the run under his belt.
Bet: Chervil to win, Key Largo to place, quinella 5,10
Trainer Chris Waller has found an ideal race for Sir Aglovale. Photo: Grant GuySource:The Daily Telegraph
RACE 6
Sir Aglovale never really budged from the $16 when he made his Australian debut in a mile race at Warwick Farm. The Waller trained NZ recruit finished fifth but should have placed; he got chopped out big time at the 150m. In bred to Sadler’s Wells so is going to eat up 1900m. Dream Maiden is another one who raced without luck last start. She raced in restricted room over the last furlong when beaten two-lengths here over this trip and in this grade three weeks back. Rules Don’t Apply won her two starts then raced like a horse looking for further the next time.
Bet: Sir Aglovale to win or if scratched, Dream Maiden to win
RACE 7
Karmazone was $18 into $12 at one stage of betting prior to his disappointing run here on April 21 with some minor excuses perhaps. The son of Eurozone went back to the trials and was cuddled for the most part but caught the eye nonetheless. Value runner. Cadenabbia was a $800,000 yearling owing to the fact that he is by Redoute’s Choice out of the Galaxy winner, Griante. Got a gun ride when he won at the Farm but he might be able to scoot across from out wide if he is lucky. Nyami had ‘next time’ written all over at the Kensington last Wednesday.
Bet: Karmazone each-way
Originally published asCanterbury tips: Writing’s on the wall for winning debut
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