Week 10 NFL odds, betting trends
The experts from BetQL are back with a look at the Week 10 NFL odds, gambling trends, and line movement. As always, we’ll break down top value bets, largest home favorite to target or fade, and an over/under that caught our eye. We’ll also be looking at the “sharp” favorite of the week to help you find an underdog that might be worth backing.
The team at RotoQL has been busy working its latest industry-leading produce, the BetQL app. Already one of the top apps for helping with gambling decisions, countless bettors have used the app to help with identifying top trending bets.
MORE ROTOQL: Week 10 DFS values | Week 10 DFS stacks | DFS Lineup Builder
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Week 10 NFL odds, betting trends
*All Screenshots are from the BetQL Trending Value Bets Page
Value Bet of the Week: Indianapolis Colts (-3) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The top value bet of the week is the Colts, who face the Jaguars as three-point home favorites. Both the Colts and Jags are in near must-win situations this week if they want to keep their hopes of winning the AFC South alive. The Jaguars have historically dominated this matchup, covering the past six games against the Colts, but it’s hard to back Jacksonville right now with how poorly they’ve played on both sides of the ball during their current four-game losing streak. Conversely, the Colts have been playing solid football, with back-to-back wins, albeit against two of the worst teams in league (Bills and Raiders). Also, consider taking the UNDER of 46.5 points, as these teams have only averaged a shade over 39 points per game in their past 14 matchups.
WEEK 10 NFL PICKS: Straight up | ATS
Largest Public Favorite: Atlanta Falcons (-4.5) at Cleveland Browns
The Falons head to Cleveland as 4.5-point favorites and are the largest public favorite of the week. While the BetQL models will tend to fade public favorites who are garnering 60 percent or more of public tickets, this is not a situation where we should look to back the Browns, who have looked awful for the large majority of the season. While there were some positive signs for Cleveland last week in their 37-21 loss to the Chiefs following the firing of head coach Hue Jackson and OC Todd Haley, they still have failed to cover the spread in three of the past four games. The Falcons, however, are a team on the rise, winning three straight games and looking excellent last week in their 38-14 domination of the Redskins.
Sharps Favorite of the Week: Seattle Seahawks (+10) at Los Angeles Rams
The team at BetQL has been hard at work to implement “Sharp Bettor Reports” to our NFL product. The sharp reports are the best way to quickly see who the big bettors are backing each week. This week, the sharps are all over the Seahawks as they travel down to Los Angeles to face the Rams as 10-point underdogs. While it’s hard to see a path to Seattle winning this game outright, the ground-and-pound style of their offense bodes well for them grinding the clock down and keeping this game close into the second half. The Rams have been excellent when bet on the moneyline or as part of a teaser this season, but they’ve have been mediocre against the spread, going only 4-4-1.
Largest Line Movement: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) vs. Washington Redskins
The largest line movement of Week 10 is in the Buccaneers-Redskins game, as we’ve seen this one go from a pick ’em to the Bucs jumping to three-point home favorites. The major reason for this movement comes down to the health of the Redskins offense. Washington has injuries to all five of their starting offensive linemen, with Trent Williams and Brandon Lauvao both doubtful to play and guard Brandon Scherff put on IR. The injuries for Washington don’t stop with the offensive line, as they also extend to the receiving corps with Paul Richardson hitting the IR and Jamison Crowder still struggling with an ankle injury, TE Jordan Reed is questionable with neck and back injuries, and pass-catching RB Chris Thompson missing multiple games with rib injuries. Tampa Bay has their own issues, with a terrible defense and a revolving QB carousel, but they have been solid at home this season, going 2-1 straight up.
The BetQL Mobile App’s Trending Picks and Public Betting tools offer a massive advantage when you’re making bets. Check me out on Twitter (@DFSBenj) for even more NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA daily fantasy and sports betting content.
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