Raceday focus: Best bets, analysis for Warrnambool

Herald Sun form analyst Brad Waters runs the rule over Thursday’s card at Warrnambool.

BEST BET

FIGHTING HARADA (Race 8 No. 6 – $2.15)

Fighting Harada returned from a long lay-off in outstanding fashion with three straight wins before a short freshen. He’ll get the perfect run from barrier five and can make it four on the trot.

NEXT BEST

UNDER THE DUNES (Race 2 No. 9 – $2)

Under The Dunes has race experience on her side and looks hard to beat again at Warrnambool. The form out of her Mornington win has held up and Under The Dunes has no worries with soft ground.

DIAQUIN (Race 4 No. 10 – $8)

Happy to have something each-way on Diaquin after her solid first-up effort at Bendigo. She’ll be better off at the 1400m trip and races best on soft ground.

HOME BY MIDNIGHT (Race 9 No. 4 – $6)

Home By Midnight did enough first-up at Caulfield before he charged home to just miss in the Terang Cup. He’ll only be fitter for those runs and expecting him to be running on hard late.

Home By Midnight is a winning chance in the Warrnambool Cup. Picture: Zak SimmondsSource:News Corp Australia

VALUE BET

DOGMATIC (Race 6 No. 1 – $9.50)

Dogmatic improved sharply when not far away over 1600m at Ballarat second-up and he’s yet to miss a placing over this trip. He was competitive in harder races last time in and is a good each-way chance.

THE JOCKEY

JYE MCNEIL

Melbourne Cup-winning jockey Jye McNeil is yet to strike a blow at Warrnambool from a couple of rides but expecting him to hit the winner’s circle at some stage on Thursday.

OCULAR (Race 3 No. 2 – $2.25), DIAQUIN (Race 4 No. 10 – $16), SHE’S A KARAKA (Race 5 No. 13 – $9), TOORADIN (Race 6 No. 7 – $3.40), SOUTH PACIFIC (Race 9 No. 10 – $15).

THE WEEK AHEAD

The famous Warrnambool May carnival ends on Thursday before racing heads to Wodonga during the day before a Cranbourne meeting on Friday night. Caulfield will host another Saturday meeting while Donald will be the scene of the provincial fixture. Ballarat will hold the sole Sunday meeting in Victoria this week.

Originally published asWarrnambool tips: Fighting Harada to come out swinging

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