TAB Footy Form: AFL Grand Final odds, best bets, money movers

After the most unusual of seasons, the two best teams of 2020 in Richmond and Geelong are set to face off in the AFL Grand Final at the Gabba.

Herald Sun footy tipping guru Chris Cavanagh has taken a look at the game from a punter’s perspective to try and find you a winner.

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Geelong ball-winner Mitch Duncan is part of TAB’s Grand Final special. Picture: Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images

THE MATCH

Richmond v Geelong

Gabba, Saturday 7.30pm

TAB odds: Richmond $1.86, Geelong $2

Line: Richmond -1.5 points $1.90, Geelong +1.5 points $2

Margins: Richmond 1-24 points $2.80, Richmond 25+ points $4.20, Geelong 1-24 points $3, Geelong 25+ points $5, Draw $31

Geelong has attracted 63 per cent of head-to-head support with TAB to defeat Richmond

CHASING THE MONEY

— Richmond is coming off a six-point preliminary final win over Port Adelaide and has won eight of its past nine matches.

— Geelong is coming off a 40-point preliminary final win over Brisbane and has won nine of its past 11 games.

— The Tigers have won five of their past six matches against the Cats dating back to the 2017 qualifying final.

— The Cats’ sole win over the Tigers since the 2017 qualifying final came by 67 points in Round 12, 2019.

— Richmond has a 2-1 record at the Gabba this season, losing its most recent game at the venue to Brisbane in the qualifying final.

— Geelong is unbeaten at the Gabba this season with a 5-0 record.

— The Cats average 15 more marks a game than the Tigers but four fewer inside-50s.

— Geelong’s preliminary final side had an average age of 28 years and four months to Richmond’s 27 years and one month. The Cats average 162 games experience to Richmond’s 132.

MORE GRAND FINAL NEWS

TAB GRAND FINAL SPECIAL

Richmond’s Dion Prestia and Geelong’s Mitch Duncan to combine for 45+ disposals is $3

CHRIS SAYS

It’s looking like being Tiger Time again. Richmond has won five of its past six games against the Cats and has a strong air of confidence entering a third Grand Final in four years. I like Richmond to win a low-scoring contest by 1-24 points at $2.80.

MULTI MANIA

Our picks for a Same Game Multi with TAB

Richmond by 1-24pts $2.80

To kick a goal — Gary Ablett $1.85

20+ disposals — Dustin Martin $1.65

Multi price is $6.50

GRAND FINAL BIG BETS

$10,000 @ $4.25 on Richmond (September 2)

$10,000 @ $3.25 on Richmond (September 21)

$10,000 @ $2.10 on Geelong

$9510 @ $2.10 on Geelong

$7750 @ $2.10 on Geelong

$7000 @ $4.50 on Geelong (September 10)

$5900 @ $2.10 on Geelong

$5600 @ $1.80 on Richmond

AFL fans put on notice

AFL: Helicopters and drones are set to be deployed to monitor Grand Final celebrations in Melbourne, with police on high alert.

Originally published asBest bets: Will Tigers make it three from four?

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